Germany: CDU Leads in Polls One Month Before Elections

The Christian Democrats coalition will get 30% of the vote, followed by Alternative for Germany with 22%

On February 23, Germany will hold elections for a new government. It will come at a particularly difficult moment for the country in deep economic crisis.

According to the latest poll by German polling company Insa, conducted less than a month before the vote, the coalition of Christian Democrats and Social Christians, CDU and CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, leads with 30% of preferences, slightly behind previous polls. Next is the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party with 22%. The crisis of the Social Democrats (SPD), whose spokesman is the outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, is thus confirmed; they will become the third force with 15.5%, ahead of the Greens, who together with the Social Democrats were part of the last coalition government and who should now get 12.5%.

Sahra Wagenknecht’s party is also expected to drop its support: its rating is 6%, very close to the 5% threshold for passage to the Bundestag. Below this threshold were the FDP liberals who were part of the “traffic light coalition” and led to the fall of the Scholz government. They are given 4.5%, the same as the left Linke formation.